The Sunflower Movement and the Emergence of a “New Mass” in Taiwan

Politics

When students occupied Taiwan’s parliament building this spring, they won backing from a broad mass of citizens. What is the nature of this new mass, and what are the prospects for the new civic movement resisting President Ma Ying-jeou’s tilt toward China?

The Rise of Taiwanese Identity

Another aspect of the mass that emerged in support of the Sunflower Movement is the rise since 2008 in the number of people identifying themselves as “Taiwanese.” The graph below shows the results of surveys conducted since 1992 by the Election Study Center at Taiwan’s National Chengchi University in which respondents have been asked to identify themselves as either “Taiwanese,” “Chinese,” or “both Taiwanese and Chinese.”

To judge from the results of this survey, as of 2007, when DPP leader Chen Shui-bian (who was seen as strongly in favor of independence from China) was president, the number of people identifying themselves as Taiwanese was less than the number identifying themselves as both Taiwanese and Chinese, but the results flipped in 2008, and the Taiwanese share continued to rise under President Ma’s KMT administration. As of December 2013, it was almost 60% of the total. And though I will not go into the details here, while the movement was underway there were various episodes indicating that the students and other young people participating in it identified themselves as being Taiwanese—and nothing else—as a matter of course. I believe that most of those who sympathized with the Sunflower Movement were among the mass of people espousing Taiwanese identity.

The members of the movement made many critical references to cross-strait political and business networks and to the cross-strait power elite. In their view, the business ties between Taiwan and China and the various forms of interaction between Taiwan’s ruling KMT and the Communist Party of China, both of which have expanded further under Ma Ying-jeou, are promoting the growth of a mesh of political and economic interests that are moving to take control of Taiwan’s future. They see this trend as oppressing the class of people who cannot easily share the benefits of increased cross-strait ties, and they believe that it is eroding Taiwan’s democracy.

This sort of rhetoric, which also contains an element of criticism of the neoliberal order, brings together the identity politics of the new Taiwanese mass with a new politics of class. Here we see another feature of the mass behind the Sunflower Movement.

The Difficult Road Ahead

The new mass that emerged on the political scene in Taiwan in conjunction with the Sunflower Movement confronts an old mass, consisting of those who reelected Ma Ying-jeou to a second term as president in 2012 and put the KMT in control of the legislature. This is the mass that is lending legitimacy to Taiwan’s institutional politics. The Sunflower Movement pressed the old mass to yield to a certain degree, and it called for accountability from the current administration that this mass supports. But until the next round of presidential and parliamentary elections in 2016, the new mass will have no opportunity within the existing political system to directly challenge the president and legislators for what it sees as their failure to assume proper accountability for their actions.

Civic groups that were involved in the Sunflower Movement have now launched a New Constitution Movement seeking to address the lack of accountability under the existing political system. And they have established a citizens’ organization (“Taiwan Citizen Union”) to back candidates in the 2016 legislative elections. But this movement is likely to face difficult going. The lack of accountability is not the only problem with Taiwan’s democracy. China will surely not let up in its efforts to penetrate Taiwan through the cross-strait political and business networks, and the KMT will surely cling to the existing arrangements making it easy for it to win a parliamentary majority. And it is not yet clear what direction will be taken by the DPP, the force within the framework of institutional politics that is expected to serve as a counterweight to the KMT and to pressure from China.

Meanwhile, it remains to be seen whether forces like the Taiwan Citizen Union will succeed in quickly establishing a position for themselves within institutional politics through the upcoming legislative election and other such contests. People who are familiar with the history of democracy in Taiwan remember the role that the student-led Wild Lily Movement played in promoting democratization back in the spring of 1990. But the situation that today’s new mass confronts in 2014 is far more challenging.

(Originally published in Japanese on July 10, 2014. Title photo: Student leaders hold a press conference within the grounds of Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan on March 27, 2014. Photo by Jiji Press.)

Related Tags

China politics Taiwan Ma Ying-jeou Kuomintang movement KMT Sunflower

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